3

Bennys Jets

4yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 67

Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 5f 121 · beat its mark22/11/2025 · OR 73 par22/11C8OR 73C8 @ Woodbine 14/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 85 · 6f 119 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Woodbine 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 65 par26/04C8OR 65C7 @ Woodbine 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Woodbine 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 59 par12/06C8OR 59C7 @ Fort Erie 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Fort Erie 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 60 · 6f 122 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 60 par3/08C8OR 60C8 @ Fort Erie 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Fort Erie 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 68 par14/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Fort Erie?4th4th0
2026-08-18Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03Fort Erie?4th4th0
2026-07-06Fort Erie?7th6th+1
2026-06-12Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-05-24Woodbine?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1124/053/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
14/12/20259th20/10%0%0.00
26/04/20267th7/163%0%-0.63
24/05/20266th25/10%0%0.00
12/06/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
06/07/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
03/08/20264th11/486%25%-0.61
18/08/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
14/09/20264th9/153%25%-0.28