1
Todo Fino
10yo Horse · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 90
Fort Erie · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 1st | 1/5 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/09/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |