2
Legs Like Flatter
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 68
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 22/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |