Galvaston
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 81
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |