Wet And Wild
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 81
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |