17
Hometomayo
6yo Mare · 11-5
Galway · Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle · 2m 130y
#19
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Ballinrobe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-06-10 | Roscommon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2042% of fieldRange 4-20 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2024 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 21/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |
| 19/09/2026 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |