Kidam Roque
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Galway · Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle · 2m 130y
#10
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Dundalk | BHA63 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-02-06 | Dundalk | BHA67 | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 06/06/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 28/01/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |