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18

Lil Soldier

7yo Mare · 11-5

Galway · Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle · 2m 130y

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yard has had success with this family and she showed a bit on her belated debut at Listowel a fortnight ago, never on terms but not unduly punished. Entitled to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 24/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 2m Goo 16124/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Listowel?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength31%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20267th100/10%63%+0.63