7
Suresuresure
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Galway · Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle · 2m 130y
#20
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#20
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2037% of fieldRange 4-17 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 23% | -0.40 |
| 17/11/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 400/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/09/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |