8
Bowgate Street
7yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 91
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | BHA92 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA91 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA91 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA92 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA89 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA90 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 14/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 19/09/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |