4
Figero
5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 101
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA103 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA105 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 28/12/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/03/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/08/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |