Inthenickoftime
6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 110
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA103 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA104 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA105 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | BHA118 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-09 | Tramore | BHA102 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | BHA106 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 12/05/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 09/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/5 | 88% | 92% | +0.03 |
| 05/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 05/06/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |