5
Just For One
5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 101
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | BHA95 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | BHA98 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-22 | Gowran Park | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | BHA96 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 88/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 25/09/2025 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 07/12/2025 | 18th | 25/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 29/12/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |