9
Kelly's Cosmos
5yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 88
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA92 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA95 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA97 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairyhouse | BHA98 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/09/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 03/02/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 26/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 10/07/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/09/2026 | 14th | 5/1 | 74% | 7% | -0.67 |