11
Max Time
9yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 72
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Roscommon | BHA72 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA72 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA72 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA72 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA72 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA72 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 31/05/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 01/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 11/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/06/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/09/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |