7
Tradonthebay
5yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 93
Galway · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle · 2m 130y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA93 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | BHA94 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA95 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 47/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |