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3

Fire Coral

7yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 98

Galway · Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 6f 60y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Likeable mare who deservedly got off the mark for the season at Listowel 11 days ago, better than ever in the process. 8 lb rise does make life hard but she won back-to-back races last season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA76 @ Wexford 24/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 76 · 3m Gd 145 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 76 par24/0776OR 76BHA76 @ Downpatrick 10/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 2m5f180y Goo 146 · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 76 parBHA82 @ Down Royal 29/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 82 · 3m GF 150 · beat its mark29/08/2025 · OR 82 par29/0882OR 82BHA89 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 89 · 2m6f Goo 157 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 89 parBHA88 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 88 · 2m6f120y Gd 156 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 88 par2/0788OR 88BHA88 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 88 · 3m Gd 156 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA46 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 46 · 2m Goo 132 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 46 par15/0846OR 46BHA88 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 88 · 3m Goo 156 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Listowel 25/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 90 · 2m6f Goo 158 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 90 par25/0990OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25ListowelBHA901st1st0
2026-08-28Down RoyalBHA883rd3rd0
2026-08-15TramoreBHA463rd3rd0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA888th8th0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA883rd3rd0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA890

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0726/0915/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20254th11/271%77%+0.06
10/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
29/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
26/09/20255th11/271%73%+0.02
02/07/20263rd20/10%88%+0.88
23/07/20268th10/382%46%-0.36
15/08/20263rd22/10%82%+0.82
28/08/20263rd7/282%86%+0.04
25/09/20261st10/147%100%+0.53