Grace Faraday
8yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 98
Galway · Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 6f 60y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA90 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-10 | Limerick | BHA92 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Cork | BHA93 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Limerick | BHA94 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Galway | BHA90 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 06/06/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/08/2025 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 10/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |