7
Isdistheone
6yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 85
Galway · Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 6f 60y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | BHA86 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | BHA86 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 10/05/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 25/09/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 54% | -0.37 |