1
She'll Be Kept
6yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 111
Galway · Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 6f 60y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Listowel | BHA112 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA112 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA101 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA90 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA91 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA92 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2025 | 2nd | 125/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 20/04/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 09/05/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 11/07/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |