5
Western Shores
5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 95
Galway · Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 6f 60y
#6
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |