4
Karl Des Tourelles
6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 130
Galway · BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Chase · 2m 2f 54y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Naas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Leopardstown | BHA133 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Navan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 13/03/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 74% | +0.74 |
| 01/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.50 |
| 16/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.52 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |