6
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7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 138
Galway · BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Chase · 2m 2f 54y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-17 | Newbury | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Doncaster | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2024 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 23/02/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.04 |
| 25/03/2025 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 95% | +0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |