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6yo Gelding · 11-12

Galway · BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Chase · 2m 2f 54y

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Was fortunate when winning a maiden hurdle at Down Royal last season. Got back on track following a break when sixth on his handicap debut at Fairyhouse in April. Successful on his only start in points but he was never really a factor sent chasing at Listowel.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 31/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m6f110y Goo 16631/10C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 116 · 2m4f Yie 162 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 116 par5/04C8OR 116C8 @ Listowel 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m1f150y Goo 15620/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Listowel?4th4th0
2026-04-05Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2025-12-20Thurles?0
2025-10-31Down Royal?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/105/0420/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
05/04/20266th7/163%74%+0.11
20/09/20264th12/137%25%-0.12