8
Timesareachanging
7yo Gelding · 11-12
Galway · BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Chase · 2m 2f 54y
#6
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Ayr | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gowran Park | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Navan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -12.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |