8
Charlie's Gift
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 86
Galway · Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 2f 54y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA87 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA89 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA91 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA94 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Clonmel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 14th | 300/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 24/04/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 16/05/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/08/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 46% | -0.12 |
| 28/08/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |