5
Dearg Mor
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 88
Galway · Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 2f 54y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA89 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA89 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA90 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | BHA93 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Limerick | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 26/12/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |