7
Dunany Point
7yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 87
Galway · Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 2f 54y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Sligo | BHA85 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA85 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA85 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA87 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | BHA90 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 74% | +0.21 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |