10
Move It On Over
5yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 83
Galway · Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 2f 54y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: BHA74
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Roscommon | BHA83 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA74 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA75 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA77 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/07/2025 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/08/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/05/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 15/06/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |