4
Onefortheditch
8yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 90
Galway · Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 2f 54y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Punchestown | BHA109 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | BHA106 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | BHA104 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Leopardstown | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | BHA98 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Limerick | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 94% | +0.23 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 85% | +0.00 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.20 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 94% | +0.31 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |