1

Toon Town

9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 98

Galway · Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 2f 54y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Underlined positive start for current stable when winning 11-runner 2½m handicap chase at Limerick in May but has largely disappointed since. Cheekpieces back on. Others more convincing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA90 @ Thurles 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 90 · 2m2f65y Yie 149 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 90 par20/1190OR 905 @ Catterick 16/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 96 · 1m7f145y Goo 161 · below its mark16/12/2025 · OR 96 parBHA91 @ Cork 06/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 91 · 2m Yie 159 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 91 par6/0491OR 91BHA94 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 94 · 2m4f100y Goo 150 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 94 parBHA94 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 94 · 2m3f176y Goo 150 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 94 par21/0594OR 94BHA91 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m1f Goo 160 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 91 parBHA100 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 100 · 2m4f180y Goo 159 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 100 par20/08100OR 100BHA90 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 90 · 2m4f100y Gd 161 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 90 parBHA99 @ Listowel 25/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 99 · 2m3f Goo 155 · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 99 par25/0999OR 99projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25ListowelBHA9911th11th0
2026-08-28WexfordBHA907th7th0
2026-08-20KillarneyBHA1005th5th0
2026-08-03CorkBHA917th7th0
2026-05-21LimerickBHA941st1st0
2026-05-11KillarneyBHA943rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1111/0520/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20254th8/158%79%+0.21
16/12/20252nd13/891%75%-0.16
06/04/20266th10/147%74%+0.26
11/05/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
21/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
03/08/20267th4/179%60%-0.19
20/08/20265th22/10%60%+0.60
28/08/20267th11/271%54%-0.17
25/09/202611th40/10%23%+0.23