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Hees Dynamite

8yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 102

Galway · Mongey Communications Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 5-time winner, including over C&D. On a good mark on the pick of his hurdles form and shaped well in 3m amateur handicap at Listowel last time, caught further back than the other principals under his inexperienced rider and finishing with running left. Good shout under Darragh O'Keeffe.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA101 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 101 · 3m Goo 157 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 101 par5/08101OR 101BHA84 @ Killarney 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 2m4f180y Goo 140 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 84 parBHA95 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m3f100y Goo 151 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 95 par26/0995OR 95BHA95 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 95 · 2m6f111y Yie 151 · beat its mark26/10/2025 · OR 95 parBHA100 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 100 · 3m100y Hvy 168 · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 100 par18/11100OR 100BHA110 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 110 · 2m6f180y Goo 148 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 110 parBHA112 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 112 · 2m6f Gd 168 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 112 par29/07112OR 112BHA112 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 112 · 2m6f80y Goo 146 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 112 parBHA104 @ Listowel 26/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 104 · 2m7f180y Goo 156 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 104 par26/09104OR 104projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26ListowelBHA1044th4th0
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA1125th5th0
2026-07-29GalwayBHA11210th10th0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA1102nd2nd0
2025-12-29Limerick?0
2025-11-18LimerickBHA1001st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0826/1029/0726/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20257th8/158%60%+0.02
21/08/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
26/09/20255th6/168%73%+0.05
26/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
18/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
17/07/20262nd20/10%93%+0.93
29/07/202610th13/266%50%-0.16
22/08/20265th17/255%69%+0.14
26/09/20264th9/276%77%+0.01