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7

Heroes Of Renown

12yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 95

Galway · Mongey Communications Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3m maiden hurdle winner lightly raced under Rules in recent times. Placed twice in points earlier this year (long-standing maiden in that sphere). Subject of an interesting stable switch having joined Shark Hanlon and worth a look in the betting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C11.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 09/07/2021 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 123 · 3m Goo 168 · beat its mark09/07/2021 · OR 123 par9/07C8OR 123BHA123 @ Cork 02/08/2021 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 123 · 3m Yie 162 · below its mark02/08/2021 · OR 123 parC0 @ Fairyhouse 09/10/2021 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m5f Gd 1689/10C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 22/04/2022 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m6f Goo 166C0 @ Tipperary 05/05/2022 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m7f70y Goo 1665/05C?BHA115 @ Limerick 27/05/2022 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 115 · 3m1f110y Goo 167 · below its mark27/05/2022 · OR 115 parBHA122 @ Killarney 15/07/2022 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 122 · 2m4f Gd 159 · below its mark15/07/2022 · OR 122 par15/07122OR 122BHA114 @ Thurles 22/01/2023 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 114 · 3m149y Yie 161 · below its mark22/01/2023 · OR 114 parBHA106 @ Sligo 10/06/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 106 · 3m1f170y Goo 168 · below its mark10/06/2025 · OR 106 par10/06106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-06-10SligoBHA10613th13th0
2025-04-21CorkBHA1140
2023-01-22ThurlesBHA1146th6th0
2022-07-15KillarneyBHA12210th10th0
2022-05-27LimerickBHA11510th10th0
2022-05-05Tipperary?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0722/0415/0710/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength12%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20211st1/195%100%+0.05
02/08/20213rd3/184%67%-0.18
09/10/20218th18/15%22%+0.17
22/04/20227th20/10%33%+0.33
05/05/20223rd20/10%78%+0.78
27/05/202210th17/255%18%-0.37
15/07/202210th33/10%10%+0.10
22/01/20236th50/10%0%0.00
10/06/202513th80/10%14%+0.14