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6

Oneforgonzo

8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 98

Galway · Mongey Communications Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kept mistakes to a minimum when winning 14-runner handicap chase at Killarney in May. Below that level since, soon backing out of things after briefly moving into contention between 3 out and 2 out in C&D event a month ago. Risky.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA106 @ Limerick 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 106 · 2m4f Hvy 164 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 106 par27/12106OR 106BHA106 @ Fairyhouse 01/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 24 · OR 106 · 2m4f Yie 163 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 106 parBHA96 @ Down Royal 20/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 96 · 2m4f145y Yie 164 · below its mark20/01/2026 · OR 96 par20/0196OR 96BHA94 @ Thurles 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 94 · 2m5f132y Sft 169 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 94 parBHA94 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 94 · 2m4f100y Goo 150 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 94 par11/0594OR 94BHA101 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 101 · 2m6f160y Gd 169 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 101 parBHA110 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 110 · 2m6f Gd 166 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 110 par29/07110OR 110BHA101 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 101 · 2m3f20y Goo 157 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 101 parBHA100 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 100 · 2m6f111y Sft 152 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 100 par7/09100OR 100projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA1006th6th0
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1014th4th0
2026-07-29GalwayBHA11011th11th0
2026-05-21LimerickBHA1015th5th0
2026-05-11KillarneyBHA941st1st0
2026-02-19ThurlesBHA944th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1219/0229/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength10%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20258th17/255%30%-0.25
01/01/20262nd18/15%96%+0.90
20/01/20265th9/276%60%-0.16
19/02/20264th3/184%80%-0.04
11/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
21/05/20265th3/184%64%-0.21
29/07/202611th50/10%44%+0.44
08/08/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
07/09/20266th17/255%50%-0.05