2
Orkneys Jack
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 102
Galway · Mongey Communications Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | BHA106 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Kilbeggan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Tramore | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 10th | 300/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/06/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |