5

Prince Palace

8yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 100

Galway · Mongey Communications Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has gone the wrong way since his novice days when successful at Navan and turned in a particularly sour display at Kilbeggan last time, going in snatches and always behind. Change of headgear.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Navan 01/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 112 · 2m4f90y Hvy 140 · beat its mark01/03/2025 · OR 112 par1/031OR 1121 @ Navan 22/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 120 · 2m7f120y Sft 152 · beat its mark22/03/2025 · OR 120 par1 @ Punchestown 02/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 122 · 2m4f55y Yie 145 · below its mark02/05/2025 · OR 122 par2/051OR 122BHA121 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 121 · 2m6f111y Yie 147 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 121 par1 @ Navan 16/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 118 · 3m Hvy 140 · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 118 par16/111OR 118BHA114 @ Leopardstown 02/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 114 · 3m4f61y Yie 165 · below its mark02/03/2026 · OR 114 parBHA110 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 110 · 3m1f24y Sft 140 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 110 par8/06110OR 110BHA109 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 109 · 2m4f85y Gd 155 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 109 parBHA106 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 106 · 2m6f111y Goo 162 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 106 par2/08106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA1040
2026-08-02GalwayBHA1067th7th0
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA1095th5th0
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA11011th11th0
2026-03-02LeopardstownBHA1149th9th0
2026-01-11PunchestownBHA1160

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0326/108/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
22/03/20253rd17/255%85%+0.29
02/05/202511th11/142%41%-0.01
26/10/20258th16/116%13%-0.03
16/11/20259th20/10%56%+0.56
02/03/20269th14/126%33%+0.07
08/06/202611th18/15%29%+0.23
24/07/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
02/08/20267th66/10%65%+0.65