5

Prince Palace
8yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 100
Galway · Mongey Communications Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA104 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA106 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA109 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA110 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | BHA114 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | BHA116 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 41% | -0.01 |
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 16/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |