4

Lady Maximum

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 60

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 37 · 5f110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 37 par10/07C6OR 37C6 @ Ellis Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 47 par18/07C6OR 47C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 57 · 7f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 57 par22/08C6OR 57C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 57 · 5f 120 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 57 par8/09C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-07-18Ellis Park?10th7th+3
2026-07-10Ellis Park?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0718/0722/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
18/07/202610th25/10%0%0.00
22/08/20265th25/10%56%+0.56
08/09/20264th7/163%57%-0.06