It'stheonlywaytogo

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 62

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

88%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼3

Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-17	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-08-27	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	2nd	-1th	+3	5.0
2026-08-05	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-07-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 53/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength53%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/07/2026	3rd	3/1	84%	60%	-0.24
05/08/2026	3rd	5/2	87%	75%	-0.12
27/08/2026	2nd	3/1	84%	83%	-0.01
17/09/2026	5th	13/8	91%	43%	-0.49