6

Lunar Sky

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 19

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1207/08C9C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 50 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 28 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 28 par8/09C6OR 28C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 26 · 6f 122 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 26 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 64 par2/06C6OR 64C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 20 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 20 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 23 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 23 par28/07C9OR 23C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 32 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 32 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 19 · 6f 124 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 19 par8/09C9OR 19projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2025-11-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/084/1128/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
27/08/20258th50/10%0%0.00
08/09/202510th50/10%0%0.00
04/11/20254th25/10%25%+0.25
02/06/20266th25/10%0%0.00
04/07/20265th40/10%60%+0.60
28/07/202610th16/116%10%-0.06
27/08/20266th33/10%0%0.00
08/09/20266th25/10%17%+0.17