Onelilconquest
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 39
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |