7

Sompatra

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 38

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS29/10C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 47 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 47 par7/04C6OR 47C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 39 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 39 par22/04C9OR 39C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 35 · 5f110y Slo 120 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 35 par25/05C9OR 35C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 40 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 40 par4/07C9OR 40C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 36 · 6f 117 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 36 par24/08C9OR 36projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?11th11th0
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-04-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th5th+3
2025-10-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/107/0422/0425/054/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 87/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.2% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20255th8/158%33%-0.25
07/04/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
22/04/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
25/05/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
04/07/202611th25/10%0%0.00
24/08/20262nd33/10%83%+0.83