Air Up There
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-09-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |