B On The Loose
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |