Gio's Baby Girl
7yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |