Sorry Not Sorry
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 16/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |