1
What About Now
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 71
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength88%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |