6

Amani's Music

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 89

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

45%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 14/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS14/03C6C6 @ Keeneland 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 100 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 100 par17/04C6OR 100C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 95 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 95 par13/05C6OR 95C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 93 par24/06C6OR 93C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 89 · 5f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 89 par22/09C6OR 89projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-05-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-17Keeneland?4th1st+3
2026-03-14Gulfstream?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0317/0413/0524/0622/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -19.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
17/04/20264th5/287%70%-0.17
13/05/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
24/06/20263rd6/492%67%-0.25
22/09/20266th3/184%17%-0.68