Beau Cup
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |