Catnip Hill
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |