Figurine
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 71
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |